Wednesday, July 9, 2008

Obama Turns Right to McCain

The John McCain campaign has recently made the second complete overhaul of his presidential campaign. Some friends in the Republican party have stated that the GOP will have a hard time if they don't get it together soon. The latest change was the sacking of the 11 man regional campaign apparatus created by Rick Davis. Steve Schmidt a disciple of Kurt Rove will be the new McCain main man .

The McCain campaign is headed for trouble in the fall if the it does not get a grip. If McCain gets elected ,it won't be because of his superb campaign organization it will be in spite of. Obama meanwhile is methodically changing his campaign to change to a fall campaign. Recently he has flipped the script on two issues , he has now said he will not accept federal funds and the second is his Iraq policy. He has taken very little heat over what other politicians would have been crucified as flip flops.
Obama while turning toward the right to pick up fall votes still has not sewed the base Democratic votes . Latino voters still have a hard time voting for Barack Obama from race based political envy. Women voters still have not moved over en masse from Hillary Land. At this point McCain might have more of his GOP base than Obama from his Democratic base. McCain could lose a small percentage of voters in the fall to Bob Barr, probably offset by the liberal voters who will vote for Ralph Nader. The Obama campaign maintains a heavy lead in the youth vote, this past year he visited University Of Texas and moved the crowd. With every vote up for contention , the possibility of the election can turn on the youth vote. Obama maintains a healthy lead in this category .

The trouble with the McCain team with the GOP is that they are distrusted by the conservative base . and with good reason .He has modified his beliefs as he has moved toward the right.

The irony is as McCain moves right so does Obama .Obama in his move toward the center has stated that he needs to rethink Iraq ,disagreed with the Supreme Court over its ruling on the issue of death penalty ,and he recently endorsed a white conservative Democrat over a black female liberal in congressional run off .
Obama has proven that he is turning right ,and McCain needs to respond to the turn. McCain's campaign is not in an action oriented focus and that will cost him at the end of the day .

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]

<< Home